| ABSTRACT | Whiplash
injury, common after a motor vehicle crash, has a variable prognosis that is difficult
to predict. To assess the role of various factors on this prognosis, we assembled
a historical cohort of 3014 individuals who sustained a whiplash injury resulting
from a motor vehicle crash in the Province of Quebec, Canada, in 1987 and were
followed for 6 years. The data were obtained from the computerized databases created
by the province's universal automobile insurance plan and police accident reports.
The recovery time from whiplash, as measured by duration of compensation, was
the primary outcome. Socio-demographic and crash-related factors measured at the
time of the crash were investigated. The median recovery time for the cohort was
31 days, with 22% recovering within a week and 3% still not recovered after 1
year. For the 1551 subjects with a whiplash injury only, the socio-demographic
factors that were found to be independently associated with a slower recovery
from whiplash in this cohort are female gender, older age, having dependents,
and not having full-time employment. The significant crash-related factors are
occupancy in a truck or bus, being a passenger in the vehicle, colliding with
a moving object, and being in a head-on or perpendicular collision. We classified
the subjects according to a prediction score ranging from 0 to 11, devised from
these factors. Subjects with a score of 0 to 2, that is those who had at most
two risk factors present, had the fastest median recovery time of 19 days compared
with 71 days for subjects who had a score of 6 or more. We conclude that several
sociodemographic and crash-related factors are independently associated with a
slow and costly recovery from whiplash injury. They are easily measurable at the
time of the crash and combined so as to be simply incorporated in intervention
programs aimed at early identification and management of whiplash patients with
a poor prognosis. |